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Fooled by Randomness: The Hidden Role of Chance in Life and in the Markets |  | Author: Nassim Nicholas Taleb Publisher: Texere
List Price: $27.95 Buy Used: $5.25 as of 11/22/2009 01:33 CST details You Save: $22.70 (81%)
New (13) Used (23) from $5.25
Seller: Mr.Lam Rating: 432 reviews Sales Rank: 580825
Media: Hardcover Edition: 2 Pages: 312 Number Of Items: 1 Shipping Weight (lbs): 1.3 Dimensions (in): 9 x 5.9 x 1.3
ISBN: 158799190X Dewey Decimal Number: 123.3 EAN: 9781587991905 ASIN: 158799190X
Publication Date: April 16, 2004 Availability: Usually ships in 1-2 business days
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Amazon.com Review If the prescriptions for getting rich that are outlined in books such as The Millionaire Next Door and Rich Dad Poor Dad are successful enough to make the books bestsellers, then one must ask, Why aren't there more millionaires? In Fooled by Randomness, Nassim Nicholas Taleb, a professional trader and mathematics professor, examines what randomness means in business and in life and why human beings are so prone to mistake dumb luck for consummate skill. This eccentric and highly personal exploration of the nature of randomness meanders from the court of Croesus and trading rooms in New York and London to Russian roulette, Monte Carlo engines, and the philosophy of Karl Popper. Part of what makes this book so good is Taleb's ability to make seemingly arcane mathematical concepts (at least to this reviewer) entirely relevant in evaluating and understanding everything from the stock market to the success of those millionaires cited in the aforementioned bestsellers. Here's an articulate, wise, and humorous meditation on the nature of success and failure that anyone who wants a little more of the former would do well to consider. Highly recommended. --Harry C. Edwards
Product Description Selected by Amazon.com and the Financial Times as one of the best business books of the year, Fooled by Randomness is an instant classic. It's uniqueness has drawn to it a wide following - from the New Yorker to the Pentagon. Already published in 14 languages, this new edition, expanded by over 80 pages, includes up-to-date advances from behavioral finance and cognitive science This book is about luck or more precisely how we perceive and deal with luck in life and business. It is already a landmark work and its title has entered our vocabulary. In its second edition, Fooled by Randomness is now a cornerstone for anyone interested in random outcomes. Set against the backdrop of the most conspicuous forum in which luck is mistaken for skill the world of trading Fooled by Randomness is a captivating insight into one of the least understood factors of all our lives. Writting in an entertaining and narrative style, the author succeeds in tackling three major intellectual issues: the problem of induction, the survivorship biases, and our genetic unfitness to the modern word. In this second edition, Taleb manages to use stories and anecdotes to illustrate our overestimation of causality and the heuristics that make us view the world as far more explainable than it actually is. But no one can replicate what is obtained by chance. Are we capable of distinguishing the fortunate charlatan from the genuine visionary? Must we always try to uncover nonexistent messages in random events? It may be impossible to guard ourselves against the vagaries of the Goddess Fortuna, but after reading Fooled by Randomness we can be a little better prepared.
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Showing reviews 1-5 of 432
Great insight September 28, 2009 C-diddy (California) Taleb changed the way I thought about skill and luck. The book was not made to prove things one way or the other but to get you to think. Don't take anyones supposed skill to your bank. You need to be aware of the risk of what you are purchasing. This book applies not only to investing but to life in general. The book is easy and fun to read.
Anecdotes and science September 17, 2009 Helge Ogrim (Norway) 1 out of 2 found this review helpful
Found the book strangely absorbing and innovative. Myself, I have very little knowledge of things mathematical or statistical, but a rather strong interest in them. Nassim Taleb delivers a spirited defence of skepticism, which I always like. His examples from the world of financial trading (and gaming) are entertaining and probably(!) illustrative, as are his anectodes from other fields of life and his obviously very extensive reading.
I should have liked to read a non-polemical discussion of his thesis. But it would have to be written in the same and wonderfully popular and humorous vein that runs thru this fine book.
some interesting provocative ideas but the book is quite bad September 10, 2009 Victor Melamed (CA USA) 3 out of 3 found this review helpful
There are some interesting ideas in the book. That's why I would give it 2 stars and not 1.
Other than that the style is quite bad (IMHO of course) but the one biggest problem for me is that
the author lacks even a single smallest drop of humility. Most of the book is about how smart
the author is and how stupid everybody else is. I did not need all that.
The message of the book if there was any is lost in all this bragging.
Fooled by Ramdomness September 4, 2009 Peter G. Maclean 1 out of 2 found this review helpful
A book that all of the overpaid egomaniacs on Wall Street will hate. Answers to the questions about what role luck plays in our financial lives. A must read before you overpay for financial advise.
Interesting Content in an Easy-To-Read style August 30, 2009 Brian P. Bernard 1 out of 2 found this review helpful
The topics are very engaging, and the author's style is very verbal (write's the way people talk). Highly recommended.
Showing reviews 1-5 of 432
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