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The Next 100 Years: A Forecast for the 21st Century [With Earbuds] (Playaway Adult Nonfiction) | ![The Next 100 Years: A Forecast for the 21st Century [With Earbuds] (Playaway Adult Nonfiction)](http://ecx.images-amazon.com/images/I/51L2P8tuGeL._SL500_.jpg) | Author: George Friedman Creator: William Hughes Publisher: Playaway
List Price: $59.99 Buy New: $55.99 as of 3/21/2010 04:22 CDT details You Save: $4.00 (7%)
New (6) Used (2) from $55.99
Seller: the_book_depository_ Rating: 160 reviews Sales Rank: 2244459
Media: Preloaded Digital Audio Player Number Of Items: 1 Shipping Weight (lbs): 0.2 Dimensions (in): 7.9 x 4.7 x 1.3
ISBN: 143325638X EAN: 9781433256387 ASIN: 143325638X
Publication Date: September 2009 Availability: Usually ships in 1-2 business days
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Amazon.com Review Amazon Best of the Month, January 2009: "Be Practical, Expect the Impossible." So declares George Friedman, chief intelligence officer and founder of Strategic Forecasting, Inc. (Stratfor), a private intelligence agency whose clients include foreign government agencies and Fortune 500 companies. Gathering information from its global network of operatives and analysts (drawing the nickname "the Shadow CIA"), Stratfor produces thoughtful and genuinely engrossing analysis of international events daily, from possible outcomes of the latest Pakistan/India tensions to the hierarchy of Mexican drug cartels to challenges to Obama's nascent administration. In The Next 100 Years, Friedman undertakes the impossible (or improbable) challenge of forecasting world events through the 21st century. Starting with the premises that "conventional political analysis suffers from a profound failure of imagination" and "common sense will be wrong," Friedman maps what he sees as the likeliest developments of the future, some intuitive, some surprising: more (but less catastrophic) wars; Russia's re-emergence as an aggressive hegemonic power; China's diminished influence in international affairs due to traditional social and economic imbalances; and the dawn of an American "Golden Age" in the second half of the century. Friedman is well aware that much of what he predicts will be wrong--unforeseeable events are, of course, unforeseen--but through his interpretation of geopolitics, one gets the sense that Friedman's guess is better than most. --Jon Foro
Product Description
“Conventional analysis suffers from a profound failure of imagination. It imagines passing clouds to be permanent and is blind to powerful, long-term shifts taking place in full view of the world.” —George Friedman In his long-awaited and provocative new book, George Friedman turns his eye on the future—offering a lucid, highly readable forecast of the changes we can expect around the world during the twenty-first century. He explains where and why future wars will erupt (and how they will be fought), which nations will gain and lose economic and political power, and how new technologies and cultural trends will alter the way we live in the new century. The Next 100 Years draws on a fascinating exploration of history and geopolitical patterns dating back hundreds of years. Friedman shows that we are now, for the first time in half a millennium, at the dawn of a new era—with changes in store, including:
• The U.S.-Jihadist war will conclude—replaced by a second full-blown cold war with Russia. • China will undergo a major extended internal crisis, and Mexico will emerge as an important world power. • A new global war will unfold toward the middle of the century between the United States and an unexpected coalition from Eastern Europe, Eurasia, and the Far East; but armies will be much smaller and wars will be less deadly. • Technology will focus on space—both for major military uses and for a dramatic new energy resource that will have radical environmental implications. • The United States will experience a Golden Age in the second half of the century.
Written with the keen insight and thoughtful analysis that has made George Friedman a renowned expert in geopolitics and forecasting, The Next 100 Years presents a fascinating picture of what lies ahead. For continual, updated analysis and supplemental material, go to www.Stratfor.com
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| Customer Reviews:
Showing reviews 1-5 of 160
Great Read March 19, 2010 S. King (Sarasota, FL) Wonderful book, and a great read about the future of our planet. Definitely would recommend to anyone looking to get a head start on the next 100 years.
makes your head spin March 16, 2010 Mark Oestreicher (El Cajon, CA USA) whoa. while one might consider it the height of hubris to write an entire book making predictions about the geopolitics of the world for the next 100 years, the dude pulls it off. what i mean is: when he predicts that russia will gain strength in the next few years, then fall apart by 2020, he offers enough great reasons and backing that it just makes sense. and when he writes about turkey and poland and japan being the three other world superpowers (in addition to the u.s.) by mid-century, it is not posited as an opinion, but, rather, a well-informed hyper-logical estimation. and the world war around 2050? wow. the whole thing started to give me a mental image of a long string of dominos stood on end, expected to knock each other down: if at some point, there's a little deviation, the string will eventually break down. and the deeper i got into the book, and the later the predictions got into the 2nd half of the 21st century, the harder and harder they were to believe. that said, even the stuff he suggests will occur in 2080 (like, massive tensions between the u.s. and mexico that could be the beginnings of the u.s. slipping from strongest superpower status) seem based in extremely logical and, even, likely realities. fascinating book. i kept thinking of the missions implications of it all!
Book everyone should read March 13, 2010 James A. Homan (Singapore Asia) We are all lockstepped into our current operational global problem. Friedman puts it all in perspective with his geopolitical view. Be it Bush or Obama the overall issues and global incentive drives the strategic outcome!
Book all should read.
J Homan
Col USMC (ret)
Pragmatic View of the Future March 11, 2010 SSam (S Eastern US) While I may not fully agree with some of the outcomes that this author states, his logic for reaching those conclusions is sound. In any forecast of future events there will be variance.
I am not fully aware of the historical issues that the ex Eastern Bloc has had with Turkey (Ottoman Turkey), or if Turkey can remain secular, but the interaction of future technology will be an interesting as the events in the book come into play. There is also an interesting parallel with Pre-WWII events. It is sort of a history of things that haven't happened yet.
This book is very entertaining and insightful, I highly recommend it.
Strategic Forecasting: The Next 100 Years by George Friedman March 10, 2010 Gregory R. Foxx Interestingly, George Friedman who is known for his ability to forecast the future of the international community presents a thesis that implies change and unpredictability are constants on the international stage. This is, of course, not a novel idea and would be confirmed by any student of the social sciences, but it is a unique assertion for a strategist to make. Friedman lays out a historical primer that shows even the casual observer of history should always expect the unexpected when looking to the future. After establishing that change and unpredictability are to be expected, Friedman voices his hope that his children and grandchildren can find some element of utility in the predictions of his work.
Friedman provides the framework for understanding the development and maintenance of the U.S. as a global superpower. He explains the strategic importance of the U.S. through geographic location (the maritime crossroads of Europe and Asia), naval supremacy, and technological advantage (computer languages based on English). Friedman then makes some sweeping assertions that he proceeds to explain. First, the U.S. will continue to be a superpower over the next 100 years. Second, the current conflicts that the U.S. and its coalition partners are engaged in are coming to an end and will be judged insignificant over the course of history. Third, Mexico, Poland, Turkey, and Russia will all rise to positions of power and influence while China will not be militarily threatening and will suffer some internal political and economic set-backs. Finally, the U.S. will face another conflict similar to the cold war with the resurgent Russia.
If these scenarios sound interesting, Friedman's work comes highly recommended. Friedman bravely attempts to do the impossible--predict the future of mankind. Whether his predictions play out is irrelevant, The Next 100 Years stands as a great read that challenges the reader to question "conventional" assumptions regarding the future of world politics.
Showing reviews 1-5 of 160
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