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The Next 100 Years: A Forecast for the 21st Century (Library Binding) |  | Author: George Friedman
Creator: William Hughes
Publisher: Blackstone Audio, Inc.
List Price: $80.00
Buy New: $32.00
as of 3/19/2010 13:37 CDT details
You Save: $48.00 (60%)
New (13) Used (5) from $31.07
Seller: redwoodbookshop
Rating:  160 reviews
Sales Rank: 2293167
Format: Audiobook, Unabridged
Media: Audio CD
Edition: Unabridged library
Number Of Items: 8
Shipping Weight (lbs): 0.4
Dimensions (in): 6.6 x 6.2 x 1.2
ISBN: 1433215438
Dewey Decimal Number: 303.49
EAN: 9781433215438
ASIN: 1433215438
Publication Date: January 27, 2009
Availability: Usually ships in 1-2 business days
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Amazon.com Review
Amazon Best of the Month, January 2009: "Be Practical, Expect the Impossible." So declares George Friedman, chief intelligence officer and founder of Strategic Forecasting, Inc. (Stratfor), a private intelligence agency whose clients include foreign government agencies and Fortune 500 companies. Gathering information from its global network of operatives and analysts (drawing the nickname "the Shadow CIA"), Stratfor produces thoughtful and genuinely engrossing analysis of international events daily, from possible outcomes of the latest Pakistan/India tensions to the hierarchy of Mexican drug cartels to challenges to Obama's nascent administration. In The Next 100 Years, Friedman undertakes the impossible (or improbable) challenge of forecasting world events through the 21st century. Starting with the premises that "conventional political analysis suffers from a profound failure of imagination" and "common sense will be wrong," Friedman maps what he sees as the likeliest developments of the future, some intuitive, some surprising: more (but less catastrophic) wars; Russia's re-emergence as an aggressive hegemonic power; China's diminished influence in international affairs due to traditional social and economic imbalances; and the dawn of an American "Golden Age" in the second half of the century. Friedman is well aware that much of what he predicts will be wrong--unforeseeable events are, of course, unforeseen--but through his interpretation of geopolitics, one gets the sense that Friedman's guess is better than most. --Jon Foro
Product Description
Drawing on a profound understanding of geopolitical patterns, George Friedman offers a compelling, eye-opening portrait of the future and the new historical cycle we are now entering.
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| Customer Reviews:
Showing reviews 1-5 of 160
 Great Read March 19, 2010
S. King (Sarasota, FL)
Wonderful book, and a great read about the future of our planet. Definitely would recommend to anyone looking to get a head start on the next 100 years.
 makes your head spin March 16, 2010
Mark Oestreicher (El Cajon, CA USA)
whoa. while one might consider it the height of hubris to write an entire book making predictions about the geopolitics of the world for the next 100 years, the dude pulls it off. what i mean is: when he predicts that russia will gain strength in the next few years, then fall apart by 2020, he offers enough great reasons and backing that it just makes sense. and when he writes about turkey and poland and japan being the three other world superpowers (in addition to the u.s.) by mid-century, it is not posited as an opinion, but, rather, a well-informed hyper-logical estimation. and the world war around 2050? wow. the whole thing started to give me a mental image of a long string of dominos stood on end, expected to knock each other down: if at some point, there's a little deviation, the string will eventually break down. and the deeper i got into the book, and the later the predictions got into the 2nd half of the 21st century, the harder and harder they were to believe. that said, even the stuff he suggests will occur in 2080 (like, massive tensions between the u.s. and mexico that could be the beginnings of the u.s. slipping from strongest superpower status) seem based in extremely logical and, even, likely realities. fascinating book. i kept thinking of the missions implications of it all!
Book everyone should read March 13, 2010
James A. Homan (Singapore Asia)
We are all lockstepped into our current operational global problem. Friedman puts it all in perspective with his geopolitical view. Be it Bush or Obama the overall issues and global incentive drives the strategic outcome!
Book all should read.
J Homan
Col USMC (ret)
Pragmatic View of the Future March 11, 2010
SSam (S Eastern US)
While I may not fully agree with some of the outcomes that this author states, his logic for reaching those conclusions is sound. In any forecast of future events there will be variance.
I am not fully aware of the historical issues that the ex Eastern Bloc has had with Turkey (Ottoman Turkey), or if Turkey can remain secular, but the interaction of future technology will be an interesting as the events in the book come into play. There is also an interesting parallel with Pre-WWII events. It is sort of a history of things that haven't happened yet.
This book is very entertaining and insightful, I highly recommend it.
Strategic Forecasting: The Next 100 Years by George Friedman March 10, 2010
Gregory R. Foxx
Interestingly, George Friedman who is known for his ability to forecast the future of the international community presents a thesis that implies change and unpredictability are constants on the international stage. This is, of course, not a novel idea and would be confirmed by any student of the social sciences, but it is a unique assertion for a strategist to make. Friedman lays out a historical primer that shows even the casual observer of history should always expect the unexpected when looking to the future. After establishing that change and unpredictability are to be expected, Friedman voices his hope that his children and grandchildren can find some element of utility in the predictions of his work.
Friedman provides the framework for understanding the development and maintenance of the U.S. as a global superpower. He explains the strategic importance of the U.S. through geographic location (the maritime crossroads of Europe and Asia), naval supremacy, and technological advantage (computer languages based on English). Friedman then makes some sweeping assertions that he proceeds to explain. First, the U.S. will continue to be a superpower over the next 100 years. Second, the current conflicts that the U.S. and its coalition partners are engaged in are coming to an end and will be judged insignificant over the course of history. Third, Mexico, Poland, Turkey, and Russia will all rise to positions of power and influence while China will not be militarily threatening and will suffer some internal political and economic set-backs. Finally, the U.S. will face another conflict similar to the cold war with the resurgent Russia.
If these scenarios sound interesting, Friedman's work comes highly recommended. Friedman bravely attempts to do the impossible--predict the future of mankind. Whether his predictions play out is irrelevant, The Next 100 Years stands as a great read that challenges the reader to question "conventional" assumptions regarding the future of world politics.
Showing reviews 1-5 of 160
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