The Panic of 1907: Lessons Learned from the Market's Perfect Storm |  | Authors: Robert F. Bruner, Sean D. Carr Publisher: Wiley
List Price: $16.95 Buy New: $8.95 as of 11/22/2009 01:35 CST details You Save: $8.00 (47%)
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Seller: indoobestsellers Rating: 47 reviews Sales Rank: 18438
Media: Paperback Pages: 328 Number Of Items: 1 Shipping Weight (lbs): 0.8 Dimensions (in): 8.9 x 5.9 x 0.9
ISBN: 0470452587 Dewey Decimal Number: 330 EAN: 9780470452585 ASIN: 0470452587
Publication Date: April 27, 2009 Availability: Usually ships in 1-2 business days
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Product Description "Before reading The Panic of 1907, the year 1907 seemed like a long time ago and a different world. The authors, however, bring this story alive in a fast-moving book, and the reader sees how events of that time are very relevant for today's financial world. In spite of all of our advances, including a stronger monetary system and modern tools for managing risk, Bruner and Carr help us understand that we are not immune to a future crisis." —Dwight B. Crane, Baker Foundation Professor, Harvard Business School "Bruner and Carr provide a thorough, masterly, and highly readable account of the 1907 crisis and its management by the great private banker J. P. Morgan. Congress heeded the lessons of 1907, launching the Federal Reserve System in 1913 to prevent banking panics and foster financial stability. We still have financial problems. But because of 1907 and Morgan, a century later we have a respected central bank as well as greater confidence in our money and our banks than our great-grandparents had in theirs." —Richard Sylla, Henry Kaufman Professor of the History of Financial Institutions and Markets, and Professor of Economics, Stern School of Business, New York University "A fascinating portrayal of the events and personalities of the crisis and panic of 1907. Lessons learned and parallels to the present have great relevance. Crises and panics are as much a part of our future as our past." —John Strangfeld, Vice Chairman, Prudential Financial "Who would have thought that a hundred years after the Panic of 1907 so much remained to be written about it? Bruner and Carr break significant new ground because they are willing to do the heavy lifting of combing through massive archival material to identify and weave together important facts. Their book will be of interest not only to banking theorists and financial historians, but also to business school and economics students, for its rare ability to teach so clearly why and how a panic unfolds." —Charles Calomiris, Henry Kaufman Professor of Financial Institutions, Columbia University, Graduate School of Business
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Showing reviews 1-5 of 47
I am Frightened October 24, 2009 D. Bassingthwaite (Apache Junction, AZ) 0 out of 1 found this review helpful
My first exposure to economic theory was Econ 101 in 1952 with Paul Samuelson's 1st or 2nd edition textbook. After a dozen years of entrepreneurial activity, I pulled that old text off the shelf and reread it. Even with my limited experience I knew there was more to the story. So I began reading everything I could find on economics from Keynesian (such as Samuelson), Econometrics (such as Chicago School, Friedman), and on to Austrian School (such as Mises, Hayek).
I still read a lot of books and often use Amazon to find them, order them, and read reviews. I have never written a review until now. It was the tenor of the reviews, not the book, that disturbed me and caused me to comment on the book.
The Panic of 1907 was a fun read and I have not so much quarrel with the books content as with the omissions. Bruner and Carr have done a great deal of fascinating research and presented it in a scholarly manner. The reviews, however, bother me. Of about 48 reviews, 75 percent were in agreement with the authors, the rest disagreeing. I am among that last 25 percent.
Virtually every economist I have read whose views make sense to me at all attribute a large share of our periodic booms and busts to good old credit expansion. Obviously, the financial system in 1907, experienced the same shock as in 1929 and as in the year 2000. Money created from thin air anyplace in the system can start a boom. As the resulting inflation progresses, people want to spend the money before it loses more value. These smaller cash holdings result in significant growth of money in the system. People feel impelled to borrow more and more for less and less advantageous projects. A boom may develop that will carry on until the system breaks down as the economic growth declines enough to fall below the monetary growth rate. The money that had come into the system as excess credit then washes out of the system and a recovery is at hand. Of course, there is a lot of pain as firms and individuals lose their poor bets.
I waited in vain for the authors, who run the business school at the University of Virginia, to chart this most basic characteristic of the business cycle and compare it to present booms and busts. By the time I got to the end of the book, I had to acknowledge the likelihood that Bruner and Carr have a very large lacunae in their knowledge of money theory. That is not so disturbing, as I have found a very large number of economists who write books that also exhibit the same trait.
It is the position of the readers who critiqued the book that cause me profound concern. If they represent the sample of economics educated persons which probably contains economists, graduate students, government employees, bankers, and others: then I truly fear for the ability of our economy to recover from such profound damage as is being inflicted by the highest level managers in government and banking on our monetary system in the present day collapse of a the wildest excess of unbacked credit in history.
The stated purpose of the book as a lesson in economics gets an F from me. I learned nothing. It appears the authors learned nothing. But worse, readers were subjected to fallacious economic theories that have been extant in our economy for decades. And even much worse, a large majority of readers seem to support policies derived from theories that seem likely to bring this economy to its knees.
A Panic of One's Own? September 27, 2009 Gary C. Marfin (Sugar Land, Texas USA) 1 out of 1 found this review helpful
Tolstoy's comment about happy and unhappy families has its counterpart in investment: all euphoric investors are euphoric for the same reasons, but all panic-stricken investors are panic-stricken for reasons unique to them. Challenging the notion that each episode of market panic is unique is one of the two central objectives of this remarkably informative book on the panic of 1907. The other objective is to avoid providing an account of the panic that is overly general. All too often, Bruner and Carr maintain, the explanation of a financial crisis is either too generic or too specific. Hence, their aim is to provide an account that is "neither too idiosyncratic nor too simplistic."
The result is the identification of seven inter-related "element" or "factors" that surface during crisis periods. Bruner and Carr claim these factors converged in 1907 and reappeared 100 years later. They are: buoyant growth, complexity, inadequate safety buffers, adverse leadership, real economic shock, undue fear and/or greed and failure of collective action.
Perhaps invariably this book is more hypothesis than proof. More work will be required to establish the usefulness of their framework. They have, however, decisively brought to life the panic of 1907 and, in a separate chapter, shown the relevance of 1907 to our own real estate induced panic. Their description of the panic and the response of market participants makes for both gripping and, considering how little has changed, sobering reading. With respect to the latter, what strikes the reader is how little has changed a century after Otto Heinze inadvertently struck the match that started the fire by attempting to "corner" shares in the United Copper company.
What I find disconcerting in books that attempt to explain a financial crisis is the scant attention paid to the question of how to prevent or more realistically prepare for the next one. On this point, however, Bruner and Carr are instructive. Their emphasis on the importance of collective action offers a clue going forward. Nothing struck me more in this book than the pivotal role of J. Pierpont Morgan. Morgan, already in his late sixties at the time of the panic, worked tirelessly to contain the panic by cajoling and uniting the otherwise independent players in New York's financial community. That his intervention may not have been entirely selfless is beside the point when one considers his impact. No single "factor" did as much to limit the duration and depth of the market's decline as the active involvement of Morgan. What's the lesson? This need for collective action in the financial community certainly surfaced during the demise of Long-Term Capital Management. It is in play in this crisis. All of which prompts the question: Should the Fed or Treasury periodically identify key players and engage in "war games" or otherwise prepare them for the next time they are called upon to act collectively?
Great lessons from the past August 14, 2009 Mariusz Skonieczny (ClassicValueInvestors.blogspot.com) 2 out of 2 found this review helpful
Why in the world are we talking about 1907 when we are dealing with the current financial crisis? Because there are many similarities. I found this book very interesting especially after reading other books on the subject whose authors suggest to getting rid of the Federal Reserve and the FDIC. Both of these institutions were born because of the Panic of 1907, which was really a liquidity crisis, similar to what we saw in late 2008. In 1907, the person who saved the day was J.P. Morgan, and today, people such as Ben Bernanke and Tim Geithner are trying to do the same.
This book is perfect for readers who would like learn more about what is happening with our economy by looking at the past. I enjoyed reading this book very much.
- Mariusz Skonieczny, author of Why Are We So Clueless about the Stock Market? Learn how to invest your money, how to pick stocks, and how to make money in the stock market
Trace the origins of the Great Depression and the Federal reserve August 8, 2009 Anthony F. Paul (New York, New York United States) The seed of the Federal Reserve system seems to have been sowed in the Panic that ensued after the 1907 collapse of copper market speculation. As it has been with every financial meltdown there has been an underlying product that leads the manic behavior, that quickly metamorphosizes itself into a panic.
This gives a good account of JP Morgan's efforts to stem the crisis.
The value of Bruner and Carr's book is for the scholarly research that accounts for not 1907 financial panic but also in examining the financial panics that have occurred over the past.
This is a good book for any serious student of the Great Depression and one who is interested in building the foundation for any serious research on the Federal Reserve and the Economic institions of modern times, also it goes without saying a definite must for the bookshelf or electronic folder for a serious economic historian.
Parallels to Todays Crisis are Striking June 10, 2009 Thomas Grover (Naples, Florida) This is an excellent history of the panic of 1907. The book gives the reader interesting insight into a banking world without a Federal Reserve, or active US Treasury pumping money into a slowing economy. It also clearly shows that in 1907, and today, the worlds financial system was built on confidence. Once that was lost, the troubles began.
The roles of Hank Paulson, Ben Bernanke, and Tim Geithner today was played flawlessly in 1907 by one individual, J.P. Morgan. Morgan engineered the response and ultimate recovery. One man having this kind of power scared the heck out of government leaders and as a result the Federal Reserve was established in 1913.
Showing reviews 1-5 of 47
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